Seongnam FC vs Hwaseong: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 27Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Tancheon Sports Complex, Seongnam
The Footlab model makes Hwaseong the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Seongnam FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Seongnam FC vs Hwaseong?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Seongnam FC (1,652) and Hwaseong (1,667).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seongnam FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Hwaseong have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(away) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gangwon FC(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Paju Citizen(away) | 1-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cheonan City(home) | 3-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busan I Park(away) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Daegu FC(home) | 5-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Jeju United FC(away) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Seongnam FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hwaseong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Hwaseong 1-3 Seongnam FC | K League 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Seongnam FC 1-0 Hwaseong | K League 2 |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Hwaseong 1-0 Seongnam FC | K League 2 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Seongnam FC 2-0 Hwaseong | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Hwaseong vs Seongnam FC on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Seongnam FC score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hwaseong score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seongnam FC | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Hwaseong | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Seongnam FC sit 10th in K League 2 (26 points from 21 matches) and Hwaseong sit 6th (36 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hwaseong | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 36 |
| 10 | Seongnam FC | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Seongnam FC vs Hwaseong?
- The Footlab model makes Hwaseong the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Seongnam FC.
- Where and when is Seongnam FC vs Hwaseong played?
- Seongnam FC vs Hwaseong is played on September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Tancheon Sports Complex, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.