Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cropston Road, Leicester, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Real Bedford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Anstey Nomads (1,922) and Real Bedford (1,958).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anstey Nomads have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Real Bedford have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wellingborough Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hertford Town(home) | 11-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Anstey Nomads score 2.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anstey Nomads | 2.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Bedford | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anstey Nomads sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (2 points from 2 matches) and Real Bedford sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 15 | Anstey Nomads | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford?
- The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Real Bedford.
- Where and when is Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford played?
- Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cropston Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026StamfordvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Oct 3, 2026StourbridgevsRacing Club Warwick
- Oct 3, 2026Bury TownvsKettering Town
- Oct 3, 2026LeistonvsHalesowen Town
- Oct 3, 2026Redditch UnitedvsBanbury United
- Oct 3, 2026Rushall OlympicvsNeedham Market
- Oct 3, 2026Stratford TownvsAlvechurch
- Oct 3, 2026LeamingtonvsHitchin Town