Match

Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cropston Road, Leicester, Leicestershire

Anstey NomadsReal Bedford

The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Real Bedford. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Anstey Nomads (1,922) and Real Bedford (1,958).

Anstey Nomads win38 %
Draw26 %
Real Bedford win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anstey Nomads have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Real Bedford have 11, 1 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Anstey Nomads
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leighton Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Bromsgrove Sporting(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Leamington(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Leiston(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026Wellingborough Town(home)1-0Non League Div One - Northern Midlands
Real Bedford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stratford Town(home)6-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Banbury United(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Leamington(home)4-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Hertford Town(home)11-2Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Anstey Nomads score 2.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Anstey Nomads2.40.677/158/15
Real Bedford3.51.5212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Anstey Nomads sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (2 points from 2 matches) and Real Bedford sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Real Bedford3300939
15Anstey Nomads2020222

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford?
The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Real Bedford.
Where and when is Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford played?
Anstey Nomads vs Real Bedford is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cropston Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Anstey Nomads and Real Bedford

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