Match

Leamington vs Hitchin Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Your Co-op Community Stadium, Royal Leamington Spa, Warwickshire

LeamingtonHitchin Town

The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leamington vs Hitchin Town?

Hitchin Town starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,613).

Leamington win26 %
Draw25 %
Hitchin Town win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leamington have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Hitchin Town have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leamington
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bury Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Kettering Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Anstey Nomads(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Real Bedford(away)2-4Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Yate Town(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Hitchin Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Racing Club Warwick(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Redditch United(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Needham Market(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Rushall Olympic(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 11, 2026Luton(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Leamington win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hitchin Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 16, 2024Leamington 3-0 Hitchin TownNon League Premier - Southern Central
Dec 2, 2023Hitchin Town 1-2 LeamingtonNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Leamington vs Hitchin Town on Mar 16, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leamington1.32.2111/1511/15
Hitchin Town1.21.365/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leamington sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 2 matches) and Hitchin Town sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Leamington2011351
18Hitchin Town3012361

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leamington vs Hitchin Town?
The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Leamington.
Where and when is Leamington vs Hitchin Town played?
Leamington vs Hitchin Town is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Your Co-op Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leamington and Hitchin Town

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