Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Corendon Airlines Park, Antalya
The Footlab model makes Antalyaspor the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Vanspor FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Antalyaspor (1,795) and Vanspor FK (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antalyaspor have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Vanspor FK have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 4-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 17, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-4 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Antalyaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vanspor FK score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antalyaspor | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Vanspor FK | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antalyaspor sit 13th in 1. Lig (3 points from 3 matches) and Vanspor FK sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK?
- The Footlab model makes Antalyaspor the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Vanspor FK.
- Where and when is Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK played?
- Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Corendon Airlines Park, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.