Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bandırma 17 Eylül Stadı, Bandırma
The Footlab model makes Bandırmaspor the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Ümraniyespor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor?
Bandırmaspor starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bandırmaspor have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Ümraniyespor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bandırmaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ümraniyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Ümraniyespor 1-2 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Bandırmaspor 2-1 Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Bandırmaspor 2-0 Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Ümraniyespor 1-1 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Bandırmaspor 4-1 Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Ümraniyespor 0-1 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Ümraniyespor vs Bandırmaspor on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bandırmaspor score 1.1 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ümraniyespor score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bandırmaspor | 1.1 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Ümraniyespor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bandırmaspor sit 7th in 1. Lig (5 points from 3 matches) and Ümraniyespor sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bandırmaspor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Ümraniyespor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Bandırmaspor the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Ümraniyespor.
- Where and when is Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor played?
- Bandırmaspor vs Ümraniyespor is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bandırma 17 Eylül Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.