Where and when is Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena played?

Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, Lebrija

Antoniano

Ciudad de Lucena

The Footlab model makes Antoniano the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Ciudad de Lucena. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena?

A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Antoniano (1,879) and Ciudad de Lucena (1,949).

Antoniano win38 %

Draw30 %

Ciudad de Lucena win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antoniano have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ciudad de Lucena have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Antoniano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Jaén(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Recreativo Huelva(home)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026	Málaga II(away)	2-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Yeclano(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026	Linares Deportivo(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Ciudad de Lucena
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Dos Hermanas(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 3, 2026	Cádiz II(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Apr 26, 2026	Tomares(home)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Apr 18, 2026	Bollullos(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Apr 12, 2026	Sevilla III(away)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Antoniano win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Ciudad de Lucena win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 12, 2023	Ciudad de Lucena 0-2 Antoniano	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Oct 16, 2022	Antoniano 1-1 Ciudad de Lucena	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Feb 27, 2022	Ciudad de Lucena 1-1 Antoniano	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Oct 31, 2021	Antoniano 1-1 Ciudad de Lucena	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Dec 22, 2019	Ciudad de Lucena 3-1 Antoniano	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Lucena vs Antoniano on Feb 12, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Antoniano score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Lucena score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Antoniano	1.0	1.3	4	7/15	5/15
Ciudad de Lucena	2.5	0.7	9	5/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Antoniano	34	12	8	14	38	40	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena?: The Footlab model makes Antoniano the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Ciudad de Lucena.
Where and when is Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena played?: Antoniano vs Ciudad de Lucena is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.