Where and when is Don Benito vs Sanluqueño played?

Don Benito vs Sanluqueño is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Don Benito vs Sanluqueño: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito

Don Benito

Sanluqueño

The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Don Benito vs Sanluqueño?

Don Benito starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,913 vs 1,752).

Don Benito win61 %

Draw25 %

Sanluqueño win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sanluqueño have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Don Benito
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Moralo(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 3, 2026	Diocesano(home)	8-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 26, 2026	Villafranca(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 19, 2026	Jerez(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 12, 2026	Santa Amalia(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Sanluqueño
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Villarreal II(home)	1-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026	Teruel(away)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 9, 2026	Algeciras(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Ibiza(away)	0-4	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026	Alcorcon(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Don Benito win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sanluqueño win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 26, 2020	Sanluqueño 0-0 Don Benito	Primera División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 7, 2019	Don Benito 1-1 Sanluqueño	Primera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Sanluqueño vs Don Benito on Jan 26, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sanluqueño score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Don Benito	2.1	0.7	6	6/15	6/15
Sanluqueño	0.5	1.5	4	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
18	Don Benito	34	6	8	20	30	51	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Sanluqueño?: The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Sanluqueño.
Where and when is Don Benito vs Sanluqueño played?: Don Benito vs Sanluqueño is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.