Where and when is Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez played?

Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Colombino, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Colombino, Huelva

Recreativo Huelva

Xerez

The Footlab model makes Recreativo Huelva the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Xerez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Recreativo Huelva (1,840) and Xerez (1,930).

Recreativo Huelva win38 %

Draw31 %

Xerez win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo Huelva have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Xerez have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Recreativo Huelva
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 28, 2026	Dos Hermanas(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Real Betis(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Chiclana(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 3, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
May 3, 2026	Conil(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

Xerez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portuense(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Conquense(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Conquense(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Ucam Murcia(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Recreativo Huelva win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Xerez win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Xerez 1-0 Recreativo Huelva	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 19, 2025	Recreativo Huelva 1-2 Xerez	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Aug 6, 2022	Xerez 1-0 Recreativo Huelva	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 6, 2022	Xerez 0-2 Recreativo Huelva	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
Nov 17, 2021	Recreativo Huelva 3-1 Xerez	Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

Last archived meeting: Xerez vs Recreativo Huelva on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Recreativo Huelva score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Recreativo Huelva	1.2	1.4	3	8/15	8/15
Xerez	0.7	0.5	8	4/15	2/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Recreativo Huelva sit 6th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (57 points from 34 matches) and Xerez sit 4th (59 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Xerez	34	17	8	9	32	24	59
6	Recreativo Huelva	34	16	9	9	41	25	57

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez?: The Footlab model makes Recreativo Huelva the favourite at 38%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Xerez.
Where and when is Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez played?: Recreativo Huelva vs Xerez is played on September 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Colombino, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.