Match

Antoniano vs Estepona: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, Lebrija

AntonianoEstepona

The Footlab model makes Antoniano the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Estepona. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Antoniano vs Estepona?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Antoniano (1,878) and Estepona (1,926).

Antoniano win44 %
Draw27 %
Estepona win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antoniano have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Estepona have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Antoniano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Real Jaén(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Recreativo Huelva(home)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026Málaga II(away)2-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Yeclano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026Linares Deportivo(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Estepona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Real Madrid III(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Real Madrid III(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Yeclano(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Águilas(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026Linares Deportivo(away)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Antoniano win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Estepona win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Antoniano 1-2 EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 16, 2025Estepona 1-2 AntonianoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 6, 2025Estepona 1-3 AntonianoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 24, 2024Antoniano 2-1 EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 21, 2024Antoniano 0-0 EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 10, 2023Estepona 3-0 AntonianoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Antoniano vs Estepona on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Antoniano score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estepona score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Antoniano1.01.347/155/15
Estepona1.70.9410/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Antoniano sit 12th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (44 points from 34 matches) and Estepona sit 13th (44 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Antoniano3412814384044
13Estepona3412814404444

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Antoniano vs Estepona?
The Footlab model makes Antoniano the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Estepona.
Where and when is Antoniano vs Estepona played?
Antoniano vs Estepona is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Antoniano and Estepona

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