Antoniano vs Estepona: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, Lebrija
The Footlab model makes Antoniano the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Estepona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antoniano vs Estepona?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Antoniano (1,878) and Estepona (1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antoniano have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Estepona have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Málaga II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yeclano(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Antoniano win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Estepona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Antoniano 1-2 Estepona | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Estepona 1-2 Antoniano | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Estepona 1-3 Antoniano | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Antoniano 2-1 Estepona | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Antoniano 0-0 Estepona | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Estepona 3-0 Antoniano | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Antoniano vs Estepona on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Antoniano score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estepona score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoniano | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Estepona | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antoniano sit 12th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (44 points from 34 matches) and Estepona sit 13th (44 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 40 | 44 |
| 13 | Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 44 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antoniano vs Estepona?
- The Footlab model makes Antoniano the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Estepona.
- Where and when is Antoniano vs Estepona played?
- Antoniano vs Estepona is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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