Badajoz vs Linares Deportivo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, Badajoz
The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Linares Deportivo. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badajoz vs Linares Deportivo?
Badajoz starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,996 vs 1,881).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badajoz have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Linares Deportivo have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Cuarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Moralo(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 31, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 24, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Melilla(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Badajoz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Linares Deportivo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2023 | Linares Deportivo 2-1 Badajoz | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 18, 2022 | Badajoz 1-1 Linares Deportivo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Linares Deportivo vs Badajoz on Apr 30, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Linares Deportivo score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badajoz | 2.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Linares Deportivo | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Linares Deportivo | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 45 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badajoz vs Linares Deportivo?
- The Footlab model makes Badajoz the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Linares Deportivo.
- Where and when is Badajoz vs Linares Deportivo played?
- Badajoz vs Linares Deportivo is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.