Antwerp vs Genk: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Bosuilstadion, Deurne
The Footlab model makes Antwerp the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Genk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Antwerp vs Genk?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Antwerp (1,951) and Genk (2,030).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Antwerp have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Genk have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 3-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Twente(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Antwerp win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Genk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Genk 0-0 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Antwerp 1-2 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Antwerp 3-0 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Genk 1-1 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Genk 0-1 Antwerp | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Antwerp 1-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Antwerp score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Genk score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Genk | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Antwerp sit 2nd in Jupiler Pro League (6 points from 2 matches) and Genk sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Antwerp | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Antwerp vs Genk?
- The Footlab model makes Antwerp the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Genk.
- Where and when is Antwerp vs Genk played?
- Antwerp vs Genk is played on August 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Bosuilstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.