Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Soeverein Stadion, Lommel
The Footlab model makes Lommel United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for KVC Westerlo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Lommel United (1,866) and KVC Westerlo (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lommel United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; KVC Westerlo have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Genk(away) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-5 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dunkerque(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lommel United win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 KVC Westerlo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2022 | KVC Westerlo 2-1 Lommel United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2022 | Lommel United 1-2 KVC Westerlo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Lommel United 2-1 KVC Westerlo | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 6, 2022 | KVC Westerlo 3-0 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Lommel United 0-1 KVC Westerlo | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 1, 2021 | KVC Westerlo 2-0 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KVC Westerlo vs Lommel United on Jul 8, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Lommel United score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; KVC Westerlo score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| KVC Westerlo | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lommel United sit 13th in Jupiler Pro League (1 points from 2 matches) and KVC Westerlo sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lommel United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | KVC Westerlo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo?
- The Footlab model makes Lommel United the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for KVC Westerlo.
- Where and when is Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo played?
- Lommel United vs KVC Westerlo is played on August 23, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Soeverein Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.