AO Itabaiana vs Joinville: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa Do Brasil1st RoundKick-off on January 31, 2018 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Etelvino Mendonça, Itabaiana, Sergipe
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What was the result of AO Itabaiana vs Joinville?
Joinville won 0-1 on January 31, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 80′Elias dos Santos BuenoJoinville
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AO Itabaiana have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Joinville have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2017 | Fluminense De Feira(away) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 18, 2017 | Campinense(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 11, 2017 | Atlético PE(away) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 4, 2017 | Atlético PE(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| May 28, 2017 | Campinense(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2017 | Mogi Mirim(home) | 8-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 3, 2017 | RB Bragantino(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Macaé(home) | 2-4 | Serie C |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Sao Bento(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Aug 13, 2017 | Tombense(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
AO Itabaiana score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Joinville score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AO Itabaiana | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Joinville | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy