APEA vs Doxa: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Koinotiko Gipedo Akrotriou, Limassol
The Footlab model makes APEA the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Doxa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win APEA vs Doxa?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate APEA (1,598) and Doxa (1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, APEA have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Doxa have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Iraklis Yerolakkou(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Spartakos Kitiou(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Halkanoras(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ahironas / Onisilos(away) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ayia Napa(home) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(away) | 1-5 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 APEA win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Doxa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2025 | APEA 1-2 Doxa | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
APEA score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Doxa score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APEA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Doxa | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
APEA sit 11th in 2. Division (39 points from 14 matches) and Doxa sit 5th (42 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Doxa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 42 |
| 11 | APEA | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for APEA vs Doxa?
- The Footlab model makes APEA the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Doxa.
- Where and when is APEA vs Doxa played?
- APEA vs Doxa is played on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Koinotiko Gipedo Akrotriou, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.