Ayia Napa vs ASIL Lysi: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Ayia Napa, Agia Napa
The Footlab model makes Ayia Napa the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for ASIL Lysi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayia Napa vs ASIL Lysi?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Ayia Napa (1,560) and ASIL Lysi (1,525).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayia Napa have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; ASIL Lysi have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Doxa(away) | 3-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | PAEEK(home) | 6-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(home) | 5-5 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Karmiotissa(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Karmiotissa(home) | 2-6 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ayia Napa(away) | 5-5 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ayia Napa win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 ASIL Lysi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ayia Napa 5-5 ASIL Lysi | 2. Division |
| Feb 8, 2026 | ASIL Lysi 2-3 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Jan 10, 2026 | ASIL Lysi 1-1 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Ayia Napa 1-1 ASIL Lysi | 2. Division |
| Apr 20, 2024 | ASIL Lysi 3-2 Ayia Napa | 2. Division |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Ayia Napa 1-2 ASIL Lysi | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Ayia Napa vs ASIL Lysi on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ayia Napa score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; ASIL Lysi score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayia Napa | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| ASIL Lysi | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayia Napa sit 6th in 2. Division (41 points from 14 matches) and ASIL Lysi sit 7th (31 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ayia Napa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 28 | 41 |
| 7 | ASIL Lysi | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayia Napa vs ASIL Lysi?
- The Footlab model makes Ayia Napa the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for ASIL Lysi.
- Where and when is Ayia Napa vs ASIL Lysi played?
- Ayia Napa vs ASIL Lysi is played on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Ayia Napa, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.