Ermis vs Akritas: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, Aradippou
The Footlab model makes Ermis the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Akritas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ermis vs Akritas?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Ermis (1,604) and Akritas (1,684).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ermis have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Akritas have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Ethnikos Assias(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | ASPIS(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | AEP Polemidion(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Anagennisi Deryneia(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Omonia Aradippou(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| May 1, 2026 | Ethnikos Achna(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Enosis(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ermis win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Akritas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | Akritas 3-0 Ermis | 2. Division |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Ermis 0-2 Akritas | 2. Division |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Ermis 1-1 Akritas | 2. Division |
| Feb 6, 2022 | Ermis 0-0 Akritas | 2. Division |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Akritas 2-1 Ermis | 2. Division |
| Sep 23, 2020 | Ermis 3-0 Akritas | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ermis score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Akritas score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ermis | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Akritas | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ermis vs Akritas?
- The Footlab model makes Ermis the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Akritas.
- Where and when is Ermis vs Akritas played?
- Ermis vs Akritas is played on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Dimotiko Stadio Aradippou, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.