Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Neo GSP, Levkosía
The Footlab model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Omonia 29is Maiou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou?
Apoel Nicosia starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,877 vs 1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Apoel Nicosia have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Omonia 29is Maiou have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Anorthosis(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| May 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(away) | 3-3 | 2. Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Doxa(home) | 5-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | PAEEK(away) | 3-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Nea Salamis(home) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | ASIL Lysi(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Apoel Nicosia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Omonia 29is Maiou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | Apoel Nicosia 6-1 Omonia 29is Maiou | Cup |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Apoel Nicosia 4-0 Omonia 29is Maiou | 1. Division |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Omonia 29is Maiou 0-0 Apoel Nicosia | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou on Jan 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Apoel Nicosia score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Omonia 29is Maiou score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apoel Nicosia | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Omonia 29is Maiou | 2.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Apoel Nicosia | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 53 | 45 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou?
- The Footlab model makes Apoel Nicosia the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Omonia 29is Maiou.
- Where and when is Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou played?
- Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Neo GSP, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.