Nea Salamis vs Pafos: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vitex Ammochostos Epistrofi, Larnaca
The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Nea Salamis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pafos wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nea Salamis vs Pafos?
Pafos starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (2,041 vs 1,833).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nea Salamis vs Pafos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nea Salamis
4-4-1-1- 9Darío Poveda
- 10C. Giousis
- 7S. Grandsir
- 71G. Gerolemou
- 6Georgios Christodoulou
- 93B. Konaté
- 29F. Hanin
- 55Sergio González
- 44G. Viktoros
- 4P. Artymatas
- 1Alberto Varó
Pafos
4-5-1- 18Lelê
- 88Pêpê Rodrigues
- 13N. Moumi Ngamaleu
- 12K. Sema
- 26I. Šunjić
- 30V. Dragomir
- 4David Luiz
- 14N. Ioannou
- 5David Goldar
- 7Bruno Felipe
- 99R. Majecki
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nea Salamis have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Pafos have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ermis(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Anorthosis(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AEL(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | AEL(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Olympiakos(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 1-0 | Super Cup |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Karmiotissa(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nea Salamis win, 1 draw, 4 Pafos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | Nea Salamis 0-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Pafos 4-0 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Nea Salamis 0-5 Pafos | Cup |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Pafos 0-0 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Nea Salamis 0-2 Pafos | 1. Division |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Pafos 1-2 Nea Salamis | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Nea Salamis score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pafos score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nea Salamis | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Pafos | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nea Salamis sit 11th in 1. Division (4 points from 4 matches) and Pafos sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pafos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Nea Salamis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Nea Salamis vs Pafos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nea Salamis vs Pafos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pafos the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Nea Salamis.
- Where and when is Nea Salamis vs Pafos played?
- Nea Salamis vs Pafos is played on October 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vitex Ammochostos Epistrofi, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.