Eleftheroupolis vs Thrakis: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 7Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Eleftheroupolis the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Thrakis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eleftheroupolis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eleftheroupolis vs Thrakis?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Eleftheroupolis (1,554) and Thrakis (1,541).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eleftheroupolis vs Thrakis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eleftheroupolis
Not enough data to predict the Eleftheroupolis lineup.
Thrakis
Not enough data to predict the Thrakis lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Eleftheroupolis have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Thrakis have 1, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Pontion Nea Amisos(home) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Kavala(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(home) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doxa Neo Sidirochori(away) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | MAS Ardas Kastanion(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pontion Nea Amisos(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kavala(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Eleftheroupolis score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 4; Thrakis score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleftheroupolis | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 1/4 | 3/4 |
| Thrakis | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
A question about Eleftheroupolis vs Thrakis?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eleftheroupolis vs Thrakis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eleftheroupolis the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Thrakis.
- Where and when is Eleftheroupolis vs Thrakis played?
- Eleftheroupolis vs Thrakis is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.