Xanthi FC vs Doxa Dramas: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 7Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Xanthi FC Arena, Pigadia
The Footlab model makes Xanthi FC the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Doxa Dramas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Xanthi FC vs Doxa Dramas?
Xanthi FC starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xanthi FC have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Doxa Dramas have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Panthrakikos(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(away) | 7-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Xanthi FC(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Aetos Orfani(home) | 3-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Xanthi FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Doxa Dramas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Xanthi FC 0-1 Doxa Dramas | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Doxa Dramas 1-2 Xanthi FC | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Xanthi FC 1-0 Doxa Dramas | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Doxa Dramas 0-3 Xanthi FC | Super League 2 |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Xanthi FC 1-0 Doxa Dramas | Super League 2 |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Xanthi FC 1-0 Doxa Dramas | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Xanthi FC vs Doxa Dramas on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Xanthi FC score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Doxa Dramas score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xanthi FC | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Doxa Dramas | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Xanthi FC sit 2nd in Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (44 points from 22 matches) and Doxa Dramas sit 3rd (43 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Xanthi FC | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 48 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Doxa Dramas | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 25 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Xanthi FC vs Doxa Dramas?
- The Footlab model makes Xanthi FC the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Doxa Dramas.
- Where and when is Xanthi FC vs Doxa Dramas played?
- Xanthi FC vs Doxa Dramas is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Xanthi FC Arena, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.