Araguaia vs Comercial MS: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 5Kick-off on July 8, 2016 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Antônio Afonso de Melo, Alto Araguaia, Mato Grosso
Full time
What was the result of Araguaia vs Comercial MS?
Comercial MS won 1-2 on July 8, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 36′CaféAraguaia
- 39′MiltãoComercial MS
- 81′Lucas Centurion de AlmeidaComercial MS
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Araguaia have 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Comercial MS have 2, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2016 | Ceilândia(away) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 26, 2016 | Ceilândia(home) | 2-4 | Serie D |
| Jun 18, 2016 | Comercial MS(away) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Aparecidense(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2016 | Aparecidense(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Aparecidense(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 18, 2016 | Araguaia(home) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 12, 2016 | Ceilândia(away) | 0-5 | Serie D |
| May 4, 2016 | Joinville(away) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Araguaia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Comercial MS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2016 | Comercial MS 0-2 Araguaia | Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Comercial MS vs Araguaia on Jun 18, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Araguaia score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 4; Comercial MS score 0.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araguaia | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| Comercial MS | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 4/14 | 3/14 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy