Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Tsentraluri Stadioni, Dusheti
The Footlab AI model makes Aragvi Dusheti the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Gareji. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aragvi Dusheti wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Aragvi Dusheti (1,437) and Gareji (1,526).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aragvi Dusheti
4-3-3- 30T. Bzekalava
- 16D. Amoako
- 9E. Sadikov
- 27B. Nuhu
- 18T. Bregvadze
- 11S. Dvalishvili
- 5L. Chokheli
- 20A. Oppong
- 3T. Molashvili
- 21N. Mensa
- 12G. Kutateladze
Gareji
4-3-3- 17L. Kalandadze
- 29B. Gugberidze
- 14I. Tchikaidze
- 4L. Tolordava
- 10T. Babunadze
- 11D. Aidarashvili
- 26Z. Eradze
- 24G. Samadashvili
- 15T. Kapanadze
- 5G. Nikolaishvili
- 12G. Bediashvili
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aragvi Dusheti have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Gareji have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Telavi(home) | 1-4 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sioni(away) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Odishi 1919(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Merani Martvili(away) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Shturmi(home) | 3-4 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Odishi 1919(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Shturmi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Gori(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Samtredia(away) | 1-6 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sioni(home) | 3-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aragvi Dusheti win, 0 draws, 5 Gareji wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gareji 0-2 Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti 0-1 Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Gareji 1-0 Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Aragvi Dusheti 1-3 Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Gareji 2-0 Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 1, 2024 | Aragvi Dusheti 3-5 Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gareji vs Aragvi Dusheti on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aragvi Dusheti score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gareji score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragvi Dusheti | 1.4 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gareji | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aragvi Dusheti sit 6th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (35 points from 27 matches) and Gareji sit 1st (50 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gareji | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 50 |
| 6 | Aragvi Dusheti | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 37 | 35 |
A question about Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aragvi Dusheti the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Gareji.
- Where and when is Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji played?
- Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Tsentraluri Stadioni, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.