Kolkheti Poti vs Gareji: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 31Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Saragbo Baza Parki-Arena, Poti
The Footlab model makes Gareji the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Kolkheti Poti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kolkheti Poti vs Gareji?
Gareji starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,551 vs 1,422).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kolkheti Poti have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Gareji have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gareji(away) | 2-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Telavi(home) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odishi 1919(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(home) | 0-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Shturmi(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti(home) | 3-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Telavi(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gagra(home) | 1-4 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Basa(away) | 2-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kolkheti Poti win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Gareji win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gareji 3-2 Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti 1-1 Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Gareji 2-1 Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Kolkheti Poti 1-3 Gareji | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Gareji 2-2 Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Gareji 1-1 Kolkheti Poti | David Kipiani Cup |
Last archived meeting: Gareji vs Kolkheti Poti on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kolkheti Poti score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gareji score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolkheti Poti | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Gareji | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kolkheti Poti sit 10th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (19 points from 22 matches) and Gareji sit 1st (43 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gareji | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| 10 | Kolkheti Poti | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kolkheti Poti vs Gareji?
- The Footlab model makes Gareji the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Kolkheti Poti.
- Where and when is Kolkheti Poti vs Gareji played?
- Kolkheti Poti vs Gareji is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Saragbo Baza Parki-Arena, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.