Ararat-Armenia II vs Mika: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yerevan Football Academy, Yerevan
The Footlab model makes Ararat-Armenia II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Mika. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia II vs Mika?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Ararat-Armenia II (1,239) and Mika (1,227).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat-Armenia II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Mika have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Lernayin Artsakh(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | BKMA II(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Pyunik II(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| May 25, 2026 | Hayq(home) | 3-4 | First League |
| May 20, 2026 | Araks Ararat(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lernayin Artsakh(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BKMA II(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Pyunik II(home) | 2-4 | First League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Noah II(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| May 25, 2026 | Noah II(home) | 0-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ararat-Armenia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mika win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | Mika 2-0 Ararat-Armenia II | First League |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Ararat-Armenia II 4-2 Mika | First League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Mika 0-3 Ararat-Armenia II | First League |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Ararat-Armenia II 1-0 Mika | First League |
| May 15, 2024 | Ararat-Armenia II 2-0 Mika | First League |
| Oct 30, 2023 | Mika 0-0 Ararat-Armenia II | First League |
Last archived meeting: Mika vs Ararat-Armenia II on Nov 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ararat-Armenia II score 1.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mika score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia II | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Mika | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ararat-Armenia II sit 14th in First League (0 points from 3 matches) and Mika sit 6th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mika | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Ararat-Armenia II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ararat-Armenia II vs Mika?
- The Footlab model makes Ararat-Armenia II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Mika.
- Where and when is Ararat-Armenia II vs Mika played?
- Ararat-Armenia II vs Mika is played on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yerevan Football Academy, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.