Hayq vs Ararat II: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Hayq the favourite at 82%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Ararat II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hayq vs Ararat II?
Hayq starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (1,540 vs 1,262).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hayq have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Ararat II have 2, 0 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia II(away) | 4-3 | First League |
| May 18, 2026 | Mika(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| May 12, 2026 | Araks Ararat(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| May 5, 2026 | Ararat II(away) | 4-1 | First League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Sardarapat(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Shirak II(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Araks Ararat(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Andranik(home) | 0-4 | First League |
| May 25, 2026 | Syunik(away) | 0-4 | First League |
| May 21, 2026 | Andranik(home) | 1-6 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hayq win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ararat II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Ararat II 1-4 Hayq | First League |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Hayq 0-1 Ararat II | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Hayq score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ararat II score 0.7 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayq | 1.7 | 0.9 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Ararat II | 0.7 | 2.8 | 0 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hayq sit 13th in First League (0 points from 1 matches) and Ararat II sit 15th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hayq | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Ararat II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hayq vs Ararat II?
- The Footlab model makes Hayq the favourite at 82%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Ararat II.
- Where and when is Hayq vs Ararat II played?
- Hayq vs Ararat II is played on September 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.