Noah II vs Andranik: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Fut Akademia, Vagharshapat (Ejmiatsin)
The Footlab model makes Andranik the favourite at 80%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Noah II. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Noah II vs Andranik?
Andranik starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (1,543 vs 1,311).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noah II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Andranik have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sardarapat 2(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bentonit Ijevan(home) | 0-7 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Banants II(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Mika(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| May 25, 2026 | Mika(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Olympia Yerevan(home) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Shirak II(home) | 4-0 | First League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ararat II(away) | 4-0 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 26, 2026 | Araks Ararat(home) | 7-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Noah II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Andranik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Andranik 3-1 Noah II | First League |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Noah II 0-1 Andranik | First League |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Noah II 2-2 Andranik | First League |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Andranik 1-2 Noah II | First League |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Noah II 1-2 Andranik | First League |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Andranik 2-2 Noah II | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Noah II score 1.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Andranik score 2.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah II | 1.1 | 2.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Andranik | 2.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Noah II sit 11th in First League (4 points from 4 matches) and Andranik sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Andranik | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Noah II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Noah II vs Andranik?
- The Footlab model makes Andranik the favourite at 80%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Noah II.
- Where and when is Noah II vs Andranik played?
- Noah II vs Andranik is played on September 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Fut Akademia, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.