Olympia Yerevan vs Araks Ararat: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Olympia Yerevan the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Araks Ararat. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympia Yerevan vs Araks Ararat?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Olympia Yerevan (1,454) and Araks Ararat (1,375).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Olympia Yerevan have 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Araks Ararat have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Andranik(away) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Sardarapat 2(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bentonit Ijevan(away) | 3-3 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Banants II(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Cilicia(home) | 4-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shirak II(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ararat II(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| May 26, 2026 | Andranik(away) | 1-7 | First League |
| May 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia II(home) | 3-2 | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Olympia Yerevan score 3.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 4; Araks Ararat score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympia Yerevan | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 2/4 | 3/4 |
| Araks Ararat | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympia Yerevan sit 1st in First League (10 points from 4 matches) and Araks Ararat sit 9th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympia Yerevan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Araks Ararat | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympia Yerevan vs Araks Ararat?
- The Footlab model makes Olympia Yerevan the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Araks Ararat.
- Where and when is Olympia Yerevan vs Araks Ararat played?
- Olympia Yerevan vs Araks Ararat is played on September 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.