Ararat-Armenia vs Van: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Yerevan Football Academy, Yerevan
The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Van. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs Van?
Ararat-Armenia is a heavy favourite: 1,835 Elo points against 1,516, a 319-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ararat-Armenia vs Van
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ararat-Armenia
3-4-3- 91Sandro Lima
- 77A. Serobyan
- 11Zidane Banjaqui
- 8J. Balanta
- 2Hugo Oliveira
- 70Benny
- 19K. Muradyan
- 43Bruno Wilson
- 14Bruno Pereira
- 17M. Carlier
- 1A. Nersesyan
Van
4-3-3- 10N. Manukyan
- 17S. Khalil
- 38T. Gevorgyan
- 7P. Avetisyan
- 91Danylo Polonskyi
- 36V. Makhsudyan
- 2J. Torres
- 33T. Voskanyan
- 13A. Gomes
- 23I. I. Daniel
- 45D. Bokov
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ararat-Armenia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Van have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | BKMA(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alashkert(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ararat(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Shirak(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Urartu(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gandzasar(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | BKMA(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Alashkert(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ararat-Armenia wins, 3 draws, 0 Van wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Van | Premier League |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Van 2-2 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia 3-0 Van | Premier League |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Van 0-0 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Van 2-3 Ararat-Armenia | Premier League |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Van | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ararat-Armenia vs Van on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ararat-Armenia score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Van score 0.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Van | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ararat-Armenia sit 2nd in Premier League (23 points from 10 matches) and Van sit 10th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ararat-Armenia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
| 10 | Van | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 7 |
A question about Ararat-Armenia vs Van?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ararat-Armenia vs Van?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ararat-Armenia the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Van.
- Where and when is Ararat-Armenia vs Van played?
- Ararat-Armenia vs Van is played on November 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yerevan Football Academy, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.