Araz vs Zira: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu, Nakchivan
The Footlab AI model makes Zira the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Araz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zira wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,311 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Araz vs Zira?
Zira starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,885 vs 1,685).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Araz vs Zira
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Araz
4-3-3- 9A. Salyanskiy
- 23A. Fernandez
- 10C. Boli
- 6Patrick Andrade
- 11M. Mara
- 36M. Kané
- 5L. Dumančić
- 27B. Letić
- 17I. Paro
- 12Bruno
- 99T. Əhmədli
Zira
4-3-3- 9D. Volkovi
- 7E. Aydın
- 27L. Bayéré
- 11A. Guseynov
- 8İ. İbrahimli
- 21Guima
- 4Ruan
- 5A. Mutsinzi
- 32Q. Alıyev
- 3D. Legbo
- 13A. Bayramov
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 02:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Araz have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Zira have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Qabala(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sumqayıt(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kapaz(home) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Turan(home) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Sumqayıt(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kapaz(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Turan(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Araz wins, 1 draw, 2 Zira wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Araz 3-2 Zira | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Araz 0-1 Zira | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Zira 1-1 Araz | Premyer Liqa |
| May 25, 2025 | Araz 0-1 Zira | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Zira 0-2 Araz | Cup |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Araz 1-0 Zira | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Araz score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zira score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Araz | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Zira | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Araz sit 12th in Premyer Liqa (2 points from 9 matches) and Zira sit 4th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| 12 | Araz | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 2 |
A question about Araz vs Zira?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Araz vs Zira?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zira the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Araz.
- Where and when is Araz vs Zira played?
- Araz vs Zira is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at İbrahimxəlil Axundlu adına Naxçıvan şəhər stadionu, in the Premyer Liqa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.