Qabala vs Qarabag: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Şəhər stadionu, Qəbələ
The Footlab AI model makes Qarabag the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Qabala. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,331 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qabala vs Qarabag?
Qarabag is a heavy favourite: 2,034 Elo points against 1,682, a 352-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Qabala vs Qarabag
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Qabala
4-3-3- 80M. Ubochioma
- 24I. Akinade
- 9K. Rossi
- 10Shahin Shahniyarov
- 27E. Ahmadov
- 4E. Camalov
- 16I. Amoah
- 5N. Monzango
- 12K. Mabea
- 3Edson
- 1S. Ağayev
Qarabag
4-2-3-1- 9Z. Sawo
- 7J. Mouaddib
- 21O. Kashchuk
- 35Pedro Bicalho
- 20Kady
- 8M. Janković
- 2Matheus Silva
- 4B. Várkonyi
- 5Bruno Langa
- 25Č. Makreckis
- 23M. Zlomislić
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 02:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qabala have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Qarabag have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Araz(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-4 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sumqayıt(away) | 1-4 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kapaz(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 3-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Imisli FK(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Safa Baku(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Zira(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Araz(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Qabala wins, 2 draws, 4 Qarabag wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Qabala 1-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Qabala 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Qarabag 2-0 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Qabala 0-2 Qarabag | Cup |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Qarabag 2-2 Qabala | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Qabala 0-4 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Qabala score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qabala | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.6 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Qabala sit 9th in Premyer Liqa (7 points from 9 matches) and Qarabag sit 3rd (17 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Qarabag | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | Qabala | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 7 |
A question about Qabala vs Qarabag?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qabala vs Qarabag?
- The Footlab AI model makes Qarabag the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Qabala.
- Where and when is Qabala vs Qarabag played?
- Qabala vs Qarabag is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Şəhər stadionu, in the Premyer Liqa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.