Match

Arbroath vs Inverness CT: prediction and stats

ChampionshipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath

ArbroathInverness CT

The Footlab AI model makes Arbroath the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Inverness CT. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arbroath wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,577 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arbroath vs Inverness CT?

On Elo ratings, Arbroath has 1,644 points and Inverness CT 1,754.

36%29%35%
Arbroath winDrawInverness CT win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arbroath vs Inverness CT

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arbroath

4-2-3-1
  1. 9A. Winter
  1. 20S. Constable
  2. 25J. MacIntyre
  3. 11R. Dow
  4. 14M. McKenna
  5. 8R. Flynn
  1. 26S. Mackie
  2. 16C. Watson
  3. 22C. Dewar
  4. 6T. Beadling
  1. 1A. McAdams

Inverness CT

4-2-3-1
  1. 9L. Stewart
  1. 7P. Allan
  2. 8A. Mackinnon
  3. 11L. Longstaff
  4. 16R. Duncan
  5. 35A. Stewart
  1. 4G. Shinnie
  2. 5Remmi Eugene Savage
  3. 2C. Macleod
  4. 15K. Smith
  1. 1R. Munro

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:19 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Inverness CT have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arbroath
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Inverness CT(away)0-2Championship
Oct 10, 2026Morton(home)1-2Championship
Oct 3, 2026Partick(away)0-3Championship
Sep 25, 2026Queen's Park(home)2-1Championship
Sep 19, 2026Stenhousemuir(away)0-1Championship
Inverness CT
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Arbroath(home)2-0Championship
Oct 13, 2026Queen's Park(away)1-2Championship
Oct 10, 2026Stenhousemuir(home)2-0Championship
Sep 25, 2026Morton(home)2-0Championship
Sep 19, 2026Livingston(away)2-2Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Arbroath wins, 1 draw, 2 Inverness CT wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Inverness CT 2-0 ArbroathChampionship
Aug 8, 2026Arbroath 0-0 Inverness CTChampionship
Apr 26, 2025Inverness CT 3-0 ArbroathLeague One
Feb 8, 2025Arbroath 3-0 Inverness CTLeague One
Dec 14, 2024Inverness CT 0-2 ArbroathLeague One
Oct 5, 2024Arbroath 1-0 Inverness CTLeague One

Last archived meeting: Inverness CT vs Arbroath on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arbroath score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Inverness CT score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arbroath0.71.535/157/15
Inverness CT1.31.186/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arbroath sit 8th in Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Inverness CT sit 6th (13 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Inverness CT10343121113
8Arbroath1032571511

A question about Arbroath vs Inverness CT?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arbroath vs Inverness CT?
The Footlab AI model makes Arbroath the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Inverness CT.
Where and when is Arbroath vs Inverness CT played?
Arbroath vs Inverness CT is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gayfield Park, in the Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arbroath and Inverness CT

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