Livingston vs Stenhousemuir: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston
The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Stenhousemuir. The most likely score is 1-1. If Livingston wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,936 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
On Elo ratings, Livingston has 1,804 points and Stenhousemuir 1,756.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Livingston vs Stenhousemuir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Livingston
4-3-3- 9R. Muirhead
- 25B. Anderson
- 7T. Sinclair
- 20E. Danso
- 8S. Pittman
- 39L. Polworth
- 23Brooklyn Kabongolo
- 5R. McGowan
- 22J. Doherty
- 26C. Montaño
- 28J. Prior
Stenhousemuir
4-3-3- 15D. Carrick
- 36L. Lloyd
- 9M. Aitken
- 17M. Anderson
- 20G. Stevenson
- 10A. Shinnie
- 19S. Bright
- 24L. Grant
- 5S. Young
- 28C. Penman
- 1D. Jamieson
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 12:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livingston have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Stenhousemuir have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Morton(away) | 3-4 | Championship |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Livingston wins, 1 draw, 1 Stenhousemuir win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Stenhousemuir 0-3 Livingston | Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Livingston 0-1 Stenhousemuir | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir 0-0 Livingston | League Cup |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Stenhousemuir 1-3 Livingston | FA Cup |
| Nov 10, 2020 | Stenhousemuir 0-4 Livingston | League Cup |
| Apr 15, 2017 | Stenhousemuir 0-1 Livingston | League One |
Last archived meeting: Stenhousemuir vs Livingston on Oct 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Livingston score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Stenhousemuir score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livingston | 1.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Stenhousemuir | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Livingston sit 5th in Championship (20 points from 13 matches) and Stenhousemuir sit 4th (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Stenhousemuir | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 23 |
| 5 | Livingston | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 11 | 20 |
A question about Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Livingston vs Stenhousemuir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Stenhousemuir.
- Where and when is Livingston vs Stenhousemuir played?
- Livingston vs Stenhousemuir is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Macaroni Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.