Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)KDM Group East End Park, Dunfermline
The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Dunfermline. The most likely score is 1-1. If Raith Rovers wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Dunfermline (1,752) and Raith Rovers (1,777).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dunfermline
3-4-3- 26A. Tod
- 99O. Adams
- 33J. Cooper
- 47R. Fraser
- 14A. Amade
- 24D. Lobban
- 19Allan Oyirwoth
- 6N. Abdulai
- 15S. Harding
- 25A. Donnelly
- 1A. Oxborough
Raith Rovers
4-2-3-1- 9G. Oakley
- 15S. Tiffoney
- 25K. Montagu
- 7A. Lyall
- 20S. Brown
- 11J. Robertson
- 2J. Rowe
- 3Z. Delaney
- 6J. Baird
- 5C. Fordyce
- 1J. Rae
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunfermline have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Raith Rovers have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dunfermline wins, 0 draws, 2 Raith Rovers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2026 | Dunfermline 1-0 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Dunfermline 3-0 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Raith Rovers 1-2 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Dunfermline 2-0 Raith Rovers | Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Raith Rovers 2-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Raith Rovers 2-0 Dunfermline | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers on Aug 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunfermline score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Raith Rovers score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Raith Rovers | 1.3 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunfermline sit 5th in Championship (13 points from 8 matches) and Raith Rovers sit 2nd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
A question about Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Dunfermline.
- Where and when is Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers played?
- Dunfermline vs Raith Rovers is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at KDM Group East End Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.