Match

Arbroath vs Raith Rovers: prediction and stats

ChampionshipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath

ArbroathRaith Rovers

The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Arbroath. The most likely score is 1-1. If Raith Rovers wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?

Raith Rovers starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,810 vs 1,708).

31%30%39%
Arbroath winDrawRaith Rovers win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arbroath vs Raith Rovers

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arbroath

4-2-3-1
  1. 9A. Winter
  1. 20S. Constable
  2. 8R. Flynn
  3. 25J. MacIntyre
  4. 11R. Dow
  5. 14M. McKenna
  1. 16C. Watson
  2. 26S. Mackie
  3. 22C. Dewar
  4. 6T. Beadling
  1. 1A. McAdams

Raith Rovers

4-2-3-1
  1. 9G. Oakley
  1. 11J. Robertson
  2. 15S. Tiffoney
  3. 25K. Montagu
  4. 7A. Lyall
  5. 20S. Brown
  1. 2J. Rowe
  2. 3Z. Delaney
  3. 6J. Baird
  4. 5C. Fordyce
  1. 1J. Rae

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Raith Rovers have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arbroath
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Partick(away)0-3Championship
Sep 25, 2026Queen's Park(home)2-1Championship
Sep 19, 2026Stenhousemuir(away)0-1Championship
Sep 12, 2026Raith Rovers(away)0-4Championship
Sep 5, 2026Dunfermline(home)1-1Championship
Raith Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Morton(away)2-1Championship
Sep 25, 2026Livingston(home)0-2Championship
Sep 19, 2026Partick(away)0-0Championship
Sep 12, 2026Arbroath(home)4-0Championship
Sep 5, 2026Inverness CT(away)2-0Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arbroath wins, 1 draw, 3 Raith Rovers wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 12, 2026Raith Rovers 4-0 ArbroathChampionship
Apr 18, 2026Arbroath 2-1 Raith RoversChampionship
Jan 10, 2026Raith Rovers 2-3 ArbroathChampionship
Nov 22, 2025Arbroath 0-0 Raith RoversChampionship
Sep 27, 2025Raith Rovers 3-0 ArbroathChampionship
May 3, 2024Raith Rovers 5-0 ArbroathChampionship

Last archived meeting: Raith Rovers vs Arbroath on Sep 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arbroath score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Raith Rovers score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arbroath1.01.636/158/15
Raith Rovers1.40.766/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arbroath sit 7th in Championship (11 points from 9 matches) and Raith Rovers sit 2nd (17 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Raith Rovers952213617
7Arbroath932461311

A question about Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arbroath vs Raith Rovers?
The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Arbroath.
Where and when is Arbroath vs Raith Rovers played?
Arbroath vs Raith Rovers is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gayfield Park, in the Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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