Match

Livingston vs Raith Rovers: prediction and stats

ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston

LivingstonRaith Rovers

The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Raith Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Livingston wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Livingston vs Raith Rovers?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Livingston (1,753) and Raith Rovers (1,777).

43%28%29%
Livingston winDrawRaith Rovers win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Livingston vs Raith Rovers

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Livingston

4-3-3
  1. 9R. Muirhead
  2. 19B. van Hoeven
  3. 7T. Sinclair
  1. 20E. Danso
  2. 8S. Pittman
  3. 16C. Palmer
  1. 23Brooklyn Kabongolo
  2. 22J. Doherty
  3. 5R. McGowan
  4. 26C. Montaño
  1. 28J. Prior

Raith Rovers

4-2-3-1
  1. 9G. Oakley
  1. 15S. Tiffoney
  2. 25K. Montagu
  3. 7A. Lyall
  4. 20S. Brown
  5. 11J. Robertson
  1. 2J. Rowe
  2. 3Z. Delaney
  3. 6J. Baird
  4. 5C. Fordyce
  1. 1J. Rae

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:09 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livingston have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Raith Rovers have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Livingston
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Partick(home)1-2Championship
Oct 3, 2026Ayr Utd(home)1-2Championship
Sep 25, 2026Raith Rovers(away)2-0Championship
Sep 19, 2026Inverness CT(home)2-2Championship
Sep 11, 2026Morton(away)4-1Championship
Raith Rovers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Queen's Park(home)2-0Championship
Oct 3, 2026Morton(away)2-1Championship
Sep 25, 2026Livingston(home)0-2Championship
Sep 19, 2026Partick(away)0-0Championship
Sep 12, 2026Arbroath(home)4-0Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Livingston wins, 1 draw, 1 Raith Rovers win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 25, 2026Raith Rovers 0-2 LivingstonChampionship
Mar 5, 2025Livingston 0-0 Raith RoversChampionship
Dec 28, 2024Raith Rovers 2-1 LivingstonChampionship
Oct 26, 2024Livingston 2-1 Raith RoversChampionship
Aug 31, 2024Raith Rovers 0-1 LivingstonChampionship
Jan 20, 2024Livingston 2-1 Raith RoversFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Raith Rovers vs Livingston on Sep 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Livingston score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Raith Rovers score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Livingston1.90.875/156/15
Raith Rovers1.30.675/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Livingston sit 4th in Championship (13 points from 10 matches) and Raith Rovers sit 2nd (20 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Raith Rovers1062215620
4Livingston10415141113

A question about Livingston vs Raith Rovers?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Livingston vs Raith Rovers?
The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Raith Rovers.
Where and when is Livingston vs Raith Rovers played?
Livingston vs Raith Rovers is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tony Macaroni Arena, in the Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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