Crema vs Sant'Angelo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, Crema
The Footlab AI model makes Sant'Angelo the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Crema. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sant'Angelo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crema vs Sant'Angelo?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Crema (1,596) and Sant'Angelo (1,648).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crema vs Sant'Angelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crema
Not enough data to predict the Crema lineup.
Sant'Angelo
Not enough data to predict the Sant'Angelo lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crema have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Sant'Angelo have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coriano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pro Sesto(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pavia(away) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pistoiese(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crema wins, 2 draws, 2 Sant'Angelo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Crema 1-1 Sant'Angelo | Serie D - Girone D |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Sant'Angelo 0-2 Crema | Serie D - Girone D |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Sant'Angelo 3-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Crema 1-2 Sant'Angelo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Crema 2-1 Sant'Angelo | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Sant'Angelo 0-0 Crema | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Crema score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sant'Angelo score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crema | 0.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Sant'Angelo | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crema sit 15th in Serie D - Girone D (5 points from 7 matches) and Sant'Angelo sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Crema | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 5 |
A question about Crema vs Sant'Angelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crema vs Sant'Angelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sant'Angelo the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Crema.
- Where and when is Crema vs Sant'Angelo played?
- Crema vs Sant'Angelo is played on December 6, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Voltini, in the Serie D - Girone D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.