Glenavon FC vs Queen's University: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mourneview Park, Lurgan
The Footlab model makes Glenavon FC the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Queen's University. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Glenavon FC vs Queen's University?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Glenavon FC (1,416) and Queen's University (1,378).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Glenavon FC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Queen's University have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Institute(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ballyclare Comrades(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Glenavon FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Queen's University win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2024 | Queen's University 1-3 Glenavon FC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Queen's University vs Glenavon FC on Jul 27, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Glenavon FC score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Queen's University score 2.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenavon FC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Queen's University | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Glenavon FC sit 4th in Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Queen's University sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Glenavon FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| 5 | Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 57 |
| 6 | Queen's University | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Queen's University | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Glenavon FC vs Queen's University?
- The Footlab model makes Glenavon FC the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Queen's University.
- Where and when is Glenavon FC vs Queen's University played?
- Glenavon FC vs Queen's University is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mourneview Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.