Loughgall vs Ards: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lakeview Park, Loughgall
The Footlab AI model makes Ards the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Loughgall. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ards wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Loughgall vs Ards?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Loughgall (1,379) and Ards (1,394).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Loughgall vs Ards
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Loughgall
4-3-3- 9D. Stewart
- 32K. McLaughlin
- 33S. McCann
- 5D. Wilson
- 6R. Norton
- 35C. Kerr
- 27J. Scott
- 4B. Murdock
- 25J. Carroll
- 3O. Crowe
- 1Ross Glendinning
Ards
Not enough data to predict the Ards lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Loughgall have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ards have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Queen's University(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Loughgall win, 3 draws, 2 Ards wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ards 1-2 Loughgall | Championship |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Loughgall 0-1 Ards | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Ards 1-1 Loughgall | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Loughgall 1-1 Ards | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Ards 2-0 Loughgall | Irish Cup |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Loughgall 1-1 Ards | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Loughgall score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ards score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loughgall | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Ards | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Loughgall sit 5th in Championship (51 points from 33 matches) and Ards sit 8th (43 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Loughgall | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | Ards | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 43 |
A question about Loughgall vs Ards?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Loughgall vs Ards?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ards the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Loughgall.
- Where and when is Loughgall vs Ards played?
- Loughgall vs Ards is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lakeview Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.