Arema FC vs Malut United: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kanjuruhan, Kepanjen
The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Malut United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arema FC vs Malut United?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Arema FC (1,747) and Malut United (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arema FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Malut United have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persija(away) | 1-3 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 0-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(away) | 1-7 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persita(home) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Persis Solo(home) | 5-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Arema FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Malut United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Arema FC 1-1 Malut United | Liga 1 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Malut United 1-1 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Malut United 2-1 Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Arema FC 3-1 Malut United | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Arema FC vs Malut United on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Malut United score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arema FC | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Malut United | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arema FC sit 9th in Liga 1 (48 points from 34 matches) and Malut United sit 6th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 53 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 47 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arema FC vs Malut United?
- The Footlab model makes Arema FC the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Malut United.
- Where and when is Arema FC vs Malut United played?
- Arema FC vs Malut United is played on December 9, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kanjuruhan, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 8, 2026PSM MakassarvsPersik Kediri
- Dec 8, 2026Persepam Madura UtdvsBali United
- Dec 8, 2026AdhyaksavsPersija
- Dec 9, 2026Bhayangkara FCvsGarudayaksa
- Dec 9, 2026Persebaya SurabayavsDewa United
- Dec 10, 2026PSIM YogyakartavsPSS Sleman
- Dec 10, 2026PersijapvsPersita
- Feb 3, 2027Persib BandungvsPusamania Borneo