Match

Persepam Madura Utd vs Persija: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 32Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, Pamekasan

Persepam Madura UtdPersija

The Footlab model makes Persija the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Persepam Madura Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Persepam Madura Utd vs Persija?

Persija starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,672).

Persepam Madura Utd win24 %
Draw25 %
Persija win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persepam Madura Utd have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Persija have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Persepam Madura Utd
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026PSM Makassar(home)2-0Liga 1
May 17, 2026PSIM Yogyakarta(away)1-2Liga 1
May 11, 2026Bhayangkara FC(away)1-3Liga 1
May 5, 2026Bali United(home)2-0Liga 1
Apr 29, 2026Semen Padang(away)1-0Liga 1
Persija
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Arema FC(home)3-1Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Persib Bandung(away)1-2Piala Presiden
Aug 1, 2026PSMS Medan(home)4-1Piala Presiden
Jul 29, 2026Port FC(away)2-2Piala Presiden
Jul 26, 2026Persebaya Surabaya(away)0-1Piala Presiden

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Persepam Madura Utd win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Persija win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 23, 2026Persija 2-0 Persepam Madura UtdLiga 1
Oct 24, 2025Persepam Madura Utd 0-1 PersijaLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Persija vs Persepam Madura Utd on Jan 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Persepam Madura Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Persija score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Persepam Madura Utd1.31.9310/1511/15
Persija2.11.059/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Persepam Madura Utd sit 14th in Liga 1 (35 points from 34 matches) and Persija sit 3rd (71 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Persija342257652971
14Persepam Madura Utd349817375435

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Persepam Madura Utd vs Persija?
The Footlab model makes Persija the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Persepam Madura Utd.
Where and when is Persepam Madura Utd vs Persija played?
Persepam Madura Utd vs Persija is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Gelora Madura Ratu Pamelingan Stadium, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Persepam Madura Utd and Persija

Ready to know everything about football?