Match

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persita: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 32Kick-off on May 21, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo, Surabaya

Persebaya SurabayaPersita

The Footlab model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Persita. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persita?

Persebaya Surabaya starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,676).

Persebaya Surabaya win60 %
Draw24 %
Persita win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persebaya Surabaya have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Persita have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Persebaya Surabaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 6, 2026Persib Bandung(away)1-1Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026Arema FC(home)1-0Piala Presiden
Aug 1, 2026Port FC(home)2-1Piala Presiden
Jul 29, 2026PSMS Medan(home)1-0Piala Presiden
Jul 26, 2026Persija(home)1-0Piala Presiden
Persita
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Persis Solo(home)1-3Liga 1
May 16, 2026Malut United(away)1-1Liga 1
May 10, 2026Persijap(home)0-3Liga 1
May 5, 2026Pusamania Borneo(away)0-2Liga 1
Apr 30, 2026PSIM Yogyakarta(away)1-0Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Persebaya Surabaya win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Persita win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 PersitaLiga 1
Aug 16, 2025Persita 0-1 Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
Jan 31, 2025Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 PersitaLiga 1
Sep 14, 2024Persita 0-1 Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
Feb 23, 2024Persita 1-1 Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
Aug 12, 2023Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 PersitaLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Persebaya Surabaya vs Persita on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Persebaya Surabaya score 2.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Persita score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Persebaya Surabaya2.10.6104/158/15
Persita0.91.315/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Persebaya Surabaya sit 4th in Liga 1 (58 points from 34 matches) and Persita sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Persebaya Surabaya3416108613558
10Persita3413615383745

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persita?
The Footlab model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Persita.
Where and when is Persebaya Surabaya vs Persita played?
Persebaya Surabaya vs Persita is played on May 21, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Persebaya Surabaya and Persita

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