Arendal vs Mjondalen: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Norac Stadion, Arendal
The Footlab AI model makes Arendal the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Mjondalen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arendal wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,065 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arendal vs Mjondalen?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Arendal (1,732) and Mjondalen (1,808).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arendal vs Mjondalen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arendal
4-3-3- 21V. Wenaas
- 27J. Berg Nundal
- 11M. Victorio
- 1A. Smedplass
- 18S. Nygaard
- 8M. Trengereid
- 4H. Osnes
- 14K. Rodeblad
- 2G. Gitau
- 15A. Ćurić
- 17H. Suggelia
Mjondalen
4-3-3- 7Oliver Midtgård
- 9M. Bringaker
- 92M. Ottesen
- 14T. Flem
- 6T. Bjørnebye
- 11J. Bruusgaard
- 3E. Kristiansen
- 4I. Vik
- 5B. Sundo
- 8S. Marthinussen
- 1P. Klausen
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 06:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arendal have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Mjondalen have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(home) | 3-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | jerv(away) | 2-2 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brattvåg(home) | 2-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Notodden(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pors Grenland(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Træff(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Vidar(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sotra(home) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Arendal wins, 0 draws, 3 Mjondalen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Mjondalen 4-1 Arendal | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Arendal 0-1 Mjondalen | 1. Division |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Mjondalen 2-1 Arendal | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Arendal score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mjondalen score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arendal | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Mjondalen | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arendal sit 9th in 2. Division - Group 1 (30 points from 24 matches) and Mjondalen sit 3rd (50 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mjondalen | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 47 | 29 | 50 |
| 9 | Arendal | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 30 |
A question about Arendal vs Mjondalen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arendal vs Mjondalen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arendal the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Mjondalen.
- Where and when is Arendal vs Mjondalen played?
- Arendal vs Mjondalen is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Norac Stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.