Arendal vs Mjondalen: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Norac Stadion, Arendal
The Footlab model makes Arendal the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Mjondalen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arendal vs Mjondalen?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Arendal (1,768) and Mjondalen (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arendal have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Mjondalen have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Froland(away) | 5-1 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vidar(away) | 3-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pors Grenland(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sotra(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vidar(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bærum(away) | 0-4 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kvik Halden(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Notodden(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Brattvåg(away) | 5-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Arendal win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Mjondalen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Mjondalen 4-1 Arendal | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Arendal 0-1 Mjondalen | 1. Division |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Mjondalen 2-1 Arendal | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Arendal score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mjondalen score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arendal | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Mjondalen | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arendal sit 9th in 2. Division - Group 1 (20 points from 16 matches) and Mjondalen sit 3rd (32 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mjondalen | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 32 |
| 9 | Arendal | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 25 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arendal vs Mjondalen?
- The Footlab model makes Arendal the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Mjondalen.
- Where and when is Arendal vs Mjondalen played?
- Arendal vs Mjondalen is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Norac Stadion, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.