Notodden vs Vidar: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Optime Arena, Notodden
The Footlab AI model makes Notodden the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Vidar. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notodden vs Vidar?
Notodden starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,579).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notodden vs Vidar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notodden
4-3-3- 1S. Lothe
- 20B. Bjerkan
- 23A. Ryste
- 8S. Jørgensen
- 22T. Nordbø
- 10A. Pettersen
- 16N. Bertelsen
- 2J. Gunnerød
- 3H. Osen
- 4J. Hammerli
- 12J. Bergesen
Vidar
4-3-3- 9S. Haughom
- 21A. Nilsen
- 29J. Fiksdal
- 22K. Ismaili
- 7S. Remme
- 10F. Larsen
- 5C. Vaalands
- 25S. Sørlie Henriksen
- 4S. Vik
- 16W. Husebø
- 1S. Strand
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 04:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notodden have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Vidar have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bjarg(away) | 2-5 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | jerv(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arendal(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | ODD Ballklubb(home) | 2-3 | NM Cupen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brattvåg(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pors Grenland(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mjondalen(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bjarg(home) | 1-4 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Notodden win, 0 draws, 0 Vidar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Vidar 0-5 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Notodden score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vidar score 1.2 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notodden | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Vidar | 1.2 | 2.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notodden sit 6th in 2. Division - Group 1 (35 points from 23 matches) and Vidar sit 14th (10 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Notodden | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 25 | 35 |
| 14 | Vidar | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 63 | 10 |
A question about Notodden vs Vidar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notodden vs Vidar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notodden the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 10% for Vidar.
- Where and when is Notodden vs Vidar played?
- Notodden vs Vidar is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Optime Arena, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.