Notodden vs Vidar: prediction and stats
2. Division - Group 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Optime Arena, Notodden
The Footlab model makes Notodden the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Vidar. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notodden vs Vidar?
Notodden starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,603).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notodden have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Vidar have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Åssiden IF(away) | 4-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brattvåg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mjondalen(away) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sotra(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Madla(away) | 2-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Arendal(home) | 1-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | jerv(away) | 0-4 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eik-Tønsberg(home) | 4-3 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arendal(away) | 0-4 | 2. Division - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Notodden win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Vidar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Vidar 0-5 Notodden | 2. Division - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Notodden score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Vidar score 0.9 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notodden | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Vidar | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notodden sit 6th in 2. Division - Group 1 (27 points from 16 matches) and Vidar sit 13th (6 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Notodden | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 27 |
| 13 | Vidar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 44 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notodden vs Vidar?
- The Footlab model makes Notodden the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Vidar.
- Where and when is Notodden vs Vidar played?
- Notodden vs Vidar is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Optime Arena, in the 2. Division - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.