Aretxabaleta vs Derio: result 1-2 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 26Kick-off on March 15, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Ibarra, Aretxabaleta (Arechavaleta)
Full time
What was the result of Aretxabaleta vs Derio?
Derio won 1-2 on March 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 68′564047Aretxabaleta
- 85′611617Derio (pen.)
- 88′578611Derio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aretxabaleta have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Derio have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Touring(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés III(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Aurrerá Vitoria(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Zamudio(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Pasaia KE(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Lagun Onak(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Aretxabaleta wins, 0 draws, 3 Derio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | Derio 1-0 Aretxabaleta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Derio 2-0 Aretxabaleta | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Aretxabaleta 0-1 Derio | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Derio vs Aretxabaleta on Oct 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Aretxabaleta score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Derio score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aretxabaleta | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Derio | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aretxabaleta sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (11 points from 6 matches) and Derio sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Derio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 11 |
A question about Aretxabaleta vs Derio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy