Arezzo vs Ascoli: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo
The Footlab model makes Arezzo the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ascoli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arezzo vs Ascoli?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Arezzo (1,970) and Ascoli (1,968).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arezzo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ascoli have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Parma(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-4 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Potenza(home) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Arezzo win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ascoli win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Arezzo 1-2 Ascoli | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Ascoli 0-2 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Ascoli 1-0 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Arezzo 1-1 Ascoli | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Arezzo 2-1 Ascoli | Coppa Italia Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Arezzo score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ascoli score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arezzo | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Ascoli | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arezzo sit 5th in Serie B (3 points from 1 matches) and Ascoli sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ascoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Arezzo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arezzo vs Ascoli?
- The Footlab model makes Arezzo the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ascoli.
- Where and when is Arezzo vs Ascoli played?
- Arezzo vs Ascoli is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Città di Arezzo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.