Sudtirol vs Cesena: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marco Druso, Bozen
The Footlab AI model makes Sudtirol the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Cesena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sudtirol wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Cesena?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Sudtirol (1,841) and Cesena (1,819).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sudtirol vs Cesena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sudtirol
3-4-2-1- 90A. Okoro
- 11Vasco Lopes
- 5S. Tronchin
- 20B. Bjarkason
- 79S. Molina
- 17L. Anghelè
- 10Fabio Rispoli
- 55A. Giorgini
- 4R. Stivanello
- 27G. Stabile
- 22A. Plizzari
Cesena
4-3-3- 9C. Shpendi
- 80A. Fiori
- 7G. Frabotta
- 25D. Bisoli
- 10R. Pagano
- 18M. Guidi
- 15A. Ciofi
- 6M. Ilić
- 4J. Gelli
- 24M. Mangraviti
- 1A. Siano
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sudtirol have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Cesena have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Modena(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Juve Stabia(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sudtirol wins, 4 draws, 2 Cesena wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Cesena 1-1 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sudtirol 0-1 Cesena | Serie B |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sudtirol 1-1 Cesena | Serie B |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Cesena 1-0 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Sudtirol 1-1 Cesena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jan 9, 2021 | Cesena 0-0 Sudtirol | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Sudtirol score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cesena score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Cesena | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sudtirol sit 2nd in Serie B (11 points from 5 matches) and Cesena sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sudtirol | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Sudtirol vs Cesena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sudtirol vs Cesena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sudtirol the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Cesena.
- Where and when is Sudtirol vs Cesena played?
- Sudtirol vs Cesena is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marco Druso, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.