Arezzo vs Virtus Entella: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo
The Footlab model makes Arezzo the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Virtus Entella. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arezzo vs Virtus Entella?
Arezzo starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,970 vs 1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arezzo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Virtus Entella have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Brescia(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Parma(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Novara(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arezzo win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Virtus Entella win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Virtus Entella 2-1 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone B |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Arezzo 1-1 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Arezzo 0-0 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Virtus Entella 1-2 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2019 | Virtus Entella 2-1 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Arezzo 2-2 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Entella vs Arezzo on Apr 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Arezzo score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Entella score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arezzo | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Virtus Entella | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arezzo sit 5th in Serie B (3 points from 1 matches) and Virtus Entella sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arezzo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | Virtus Entella | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arezzo vs Virtus Entella?
- The Footlab model makes Arezzo the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Virtus Entella.
- Where and when is Arezzo vs Virtus Entella played?
- Arezzo vs Virtus Entella is played on May 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Città di Arezzo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.