Padova vs Avellino: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padova
The Footlab AI model makes Avellino the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Padova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Avellino wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Padova vs Avellino?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Padova (1,735) and Avellino (1,803).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Padova vs Avellino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Padova
3-5-2- 9L. Moro
- 20M. Bortolussi
- 21E. Zuelli
- 8P. Fusi
- 34M. Cocchi
- 17A. Capelli
- 10G. Caprari
- 27Alessandro Dellavalle
- 5M. Lovato
- 58C. Pastina
- 22A. Sorrentino
Avellino
3-5-2- 10R. Russo
- 9W. Cheddira
- 27B. Moruzzi
- 39M. Besaggio
- 20M. Palumbo
- 2F. Missori
- 6L. Palmiero
- 4A. Izzo
- 56P. Enrici
- 23M. Venturi
- 50T. Martinelli
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Padova have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Avellino have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Padova wins, 2 draws, 1 Avellino win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Avellino 1-0 Padova | Serie B |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Padova 2-2 Avellino | Serie B |
| May 3, 2025 | Avellino 0-1 Padova | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| Jun 9, 2021 | Avellino 0-1 Padova | Serie C - Girone A |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Padova 1-1 Avellino | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Padova score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Avellino score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Avellino | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Padova sit 10th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Avellino sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Padova vs Avellino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Padova vs Avellino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avellino the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Padova.
- Where and when is Padova vs Avellino played?
- Padova vs Avellino is played on May 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.