Palermo vs Cesena: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Cesena. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palermo vs Cesena?
Palermo starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,752).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Palermo vs Cesena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Palermo
4-2-3-1- 20J. Pohjanpalo
- 8J. Segre
- 10F. Ranocchia
- 9D. Vavassori
- 17D. Johnsen
- 5A. Palumbo
- 3T. Augello
- 13M. Bani
- 32P. Ceccaroni
- 84T. Cassandro
- 14M. Fortin
Cesena
4-3-3- 9C. Shpendi
- 27M. Dalla Vecchia
- 80A. Fiori
- 25D. Bisoli
- 10R. Pagano
- 32E. Bohinen
- 15A. Ciofi
- 6M. Ilić
- 24M. Mangraviti
- 7G. Frabotta
- 1A. Siano
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palermo have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Cesena have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 4-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Padova(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Juve Stabia(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mantova(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Palermo win, 4 draws, 1 Cesena win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Palermo 2-0 Cesena | Serie B |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cesena 1-1 Palermo | Serie B |
| May 4, 2025 | Cesena 2-1 Palermo | Serie B |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Palermo 0-0 Cesena | Serie B |
| May 12, 2018 | Palermo 0-0 Cesena | Serie B |
| Dec 21, 2017 | Cesena 1-1 Palermo | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Palermo score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cesena score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Cesena | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palermo sit 1st in Serie B (16 points from 6 matches) and Cesena sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 11 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Palermo vs Cesena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palermo vs Cesena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palermo the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Cesena.
- Where and when is Palermo vs Cesena played?
- Palermo vs Cesena is played on May 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renzo Barbera, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.