Argentina vs Paraguay: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 12, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Argentina vs Paraguay?
Argentina won 1-0 on October 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 3′N. OtamendiArgentina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Argentina have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Paraguay have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2023 | Bolivia(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Ecuador(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 19, 2023 | Indonesia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 15, 2023 | Australia(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Curaçao(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2023 | Venezuela(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 7, 2023 | Peru(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Nicaragua(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Chile(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Colombia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Argentina win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Paraguay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2021 | Paraguay 0-0 Argentina | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 22, 2021 | Argentina 1-0 Paraguay | Copa America |
| Nov 13, 2020 | Argentina 1-1 Paraguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 20, 2019 | Argentina 1-1 Paraguay | Copa America |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Argentina 0-1 Paraguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 14, 2015 | Paraguay 0-0 Argentina | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Argentina score 2.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paraguay score 0.8 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 2.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Paraguay | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Argentina sit 1st in World Cup - Qualification South America (38 points from 18 matches) and Paraguay sit 6th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 38 |
| 6 | Paraguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy