Argentina vs Paraguay: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 12, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Argentina vs Paraguay?
Argentina won 1-0 on October 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 3′N. OtamendiArgentina
Official lineup for Argentina vs Paraguay
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Argentina
4-3-3- 9J. Álvarez
- 22Lautaro Martínez
- 15N. González
- 20A. Mac Allister
- 16E. Fernández
- 7R. De Paul
- 3N. Tagliafico
- 19N. Otamendi
- 13C. Romero
- 21N. Molina
- 23E. Martínez
Paraguay
3-4-3- 19R. Sosa
- 21A. Bareiro
- 10M. Almirón
- 4M. Espinoza
- 20R. Sánchez
- 8Á. Campuzano
- 14I. Ramírez
- 6J. Alonso
- 15G. Gómez
- 5F. Balbuena
- 1Carlos Coronel
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Argentina have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Paraguay have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2023 | Bolivia(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Ecuador(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 19, 2023 | Indonesia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 15, 2023 | Australia(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Curaçao(home) | 7-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2023 | Venezuela(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 7, 2023 | Peru(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Nicaragua(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2023 | Chile(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Colombia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Argentina win, 4 draws, 1 Paraguay win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2021 | Paraguay 0-0 Argentina | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 22, 2021 | Argentina 1-0 Paraguay | Copa America |
| Nov 13, 2020 | Argentina 1-1 Paraguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 20, 2019 | Argentina 1-1 Paraguay | Copa America |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Argentina 0-1 Paraguay | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 14, 2015 | Paraguay 0-0 Argentina | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Argentina score 2.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paraguay score 0.8 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 2.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Paraguay | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Argentina sit 1st in World Cup - Qualification South America (38 points from 18 matches) and Paraguay sit 6th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 10 | 38 |
| 6 | Paraguay | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 28 |
A question about Argentina vs Paraguay?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy